Strategic Energy Advisory

Western Canada NGL Growth (Impact of Gas Growth) Resource & Infrastructure Assessment

Developed by Solomon and Gas Processing Management Inc. (GPMi), the Western Canada NGL Growth (Impact of Gas Growth) Resource & Infrastructure Assessment forecasts ethane, propane, butane, and condensate volumes to 2035.

Natural gas liquefaction and export facilities in both Western Canada and the northwestern US have applied to the Canadian National Energy Board for licenses to export gas volumes. The potential for growth in the production of natural gas liquids (NGL) — and for growth in corresponding investment — is substantial and will drive significant changes into the Western Canada NGL systems.

This study, the sixth in a series of independent update assessments, marks an important step toward understanding NGL as a specific product focus. It also accomplishes the following:

  • Forecasts ethane, propane, butane, and condensate volumes to 2035 based on the analysis of developing gas production in the GPMi and Solomon LNG Growth Study
  • Assesses the impact of growing NGL production on NGL pipeline transportation, straddle plants, fractionation plants, cavern storage, and other infrastructure
  • Analyzes the NGL required for management of the heat content of liquefied natural gas (LNG) at LNG facilities to meet the needs of the Asian industrial and utility markets
  • Analyzes the supply-and-demand balance for ethane, propane, butane, and condensate for Western Canada to 2035, taking into account the huge growth in NGL production volumes
  • Looks at gaps in the supply-and-demand balance to identify opportunities for additional NGL markets and the need for new NGL infrastructure
  • Identifies growth opportunities by examining the development plans for leading NGL infrastructure operators

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